Monthly Market Update
The perception is that the Eastside real estate market is slowing down. Having taken a look at data from the month of August, the data does support that – to a degree. Take a look at the video below for key stats and data. I’m still pretty new to this video game, so be patient with me as I perfect the art of talking to the camera. I’ve not yet tried a Facebook Live video – perhaps I’ll try that next month!
My key takeaway from this market update is that while the data seems to only support a very slight market slow down, and still predicts growth for the foreseeable future (albeit at a slower pace), perception is reality. And if buyers are suspecting a slowing of the market, no matter how small, that perception will translate in their offers. Even for hot homes, my guess is that we’ll start to see fewer multiple offers, lower escalation clauses and ultimately fewer houses selling for significantly above asking. In turn, this will of course impact the market as brokers look at recent sales to price their upcoming listings. So, while the current slow down may be small, I believe it’s real and will continue to a degree. Ultimately I think this is a good thing as hopefully, in time, it will take us closer to a balanced market. I come from, and like to follow a win-win mindset – i.e encourage situations where both parties win in a transaction. And it’s hard to find the win-win in such a strong sellers market.
Happy Fall!
The Power of Video
In today’s real estate world there are many ways to market a property. Some people, particularly when faced with such a strong seller’s market, will argue that online is really all that counts. Put it on Zillow and Redfin, and surely the buyers will find your home? While there is a small degree of truth in that, there’s a difference between finding a buyer will ‘like’ your home, and finding buyers that will love your home, and do almost anything to make it theirs.
Here’s where video, as well as staging, come into to play. Add the two together and you’ve got a very special combination. As I tell all my sellers, you’re not just selling your home, your selling your lifestyle. You want buyers to be captivated by your home, to immediately enter it and get a taste of your life (no matter how far removed from your reality that may be!). Better yet, you want them to believe that in buying your house, their life will be infinitely better – because it will be more like yours. And you want to leave them with a sense that you could actually be good friends.
Admittedly a friendship rarely blossoms out of a sale of a home, or at least not in my experience. But my point is that if a potential buyer has an immediate love and respect for you and your home, you have a far greater chance of receiving stronger offers, from more qualified buyers.
It was because of all of these reasons that I opted to make a video of my most recent listing in Ballard. Just steps away from Market Street and the weekly Farmers market, I wanted to show off the home, and the lifestyle it provided. I hope you agree, this video captures that pretty well. We received multiple offers on the home in a matter of days, and went straight to pending. I’m not naive enough to believe that was solely because of the video, but I do strongly believe it helped.
Why Now Is A Good Time To Buy – Reason #1
So I’ve discovered video! And I love it so you’ll be seeing a lot more of me in the future as I move my blog to a video format.
For my debut blog series, I want to focus on why it’s now a good time to buy a home. Despite the market currently being in the sellers’ favor, there are many reasons why it’s now a good time to buy. For now I’m going to focus on just one – Interest rates. If you’ve been putting off buying a home, the numbers I mention in this video may make you think twice. Big shout out to Dietrich Miklautsch at RPM Mortgage for crunching the numbers for me. Forgive me for the goofy image below! –
As ever, you’d like more information, or a lender recommendation, please get in touch.
There’s More To A School Than A Score Out of 10
For families with children, a good school is often the most important criteria in a home search.
Last week, at Issaquah School District's Monthly PTSA Council Meeting, the super intendent shared some information about www.greatschools.org – a website that many realtors (myself included) recommend to those looking for more information about schools in the area. It gives each school a score out of 10, with a score above 8 generally considered to be very good.
Now it's time to shake it up a bit, and as realtors we have to reeducate ourselves and most importantly our clients. Greatschools.org has recently revamped their scoring criteria and as a result it's drastically altering the scores of many schools. Some of our best schools in the state have seen their ratings plummet, while others who have received low scores for some time, have seen their score sky rockets. Does this mean that the good schools have deteriorated and the poorer schools dramatically improved? Seemingly overnight? Of course not. Life is just not that simple.
Let's take Skyline High School in Sammamish as an example. For many years, it's enjoyed scores of 9 or 10. It's one of the most desirable high schools in the district. And deservedly so. For a long time it's seen some of the highest graduation rates, and academic scores in the state. It's a truly fantastic school. But last week its score dropped from a 9 to a 4. Just like that. Has the bottom dropped out of this school? Did all the good teachers leave and were suddenly replaced by less qualified staff? Of course not. The reality is nothing has changed, except the rating system. This in itself is not a problem. Change is good right? The issue comes arises because the metrics being employed are not necessarily the right metrics (for example Advance Placement Class Participation) and, more concerningly, they are not being applied consistently across all schools.
So, my advice to home buyers is go deeper in your research. Many of school rating websites are private companies, with little or no ties to the public education system. So it's little wonder that their ratings are only skin deep. If you really want to find out about a school, its academic success and its demographic profile, the best resource is the Washington State Report Card. Yes, it's a little (ok a lot) harder to interpret than a score out of 10, but it really is worth the extra effort.
Beyond desk research, I also encourage anyone really wanting to find out about a school to do their own research in the field. Go and tour the school for sure, but go beyond that. Speak to students, speak to parents and ask their opinions of the school. What they like, why they like it. And don't forget to research the PTA. A strong, supportive and financially generous PTA can make a huge difference to a school.
2016 Highlights: What the experts predict for the next 12 months
Yesterday was the annual Windermere kick off . All Windermere agents, from 17 offices, gathered at the Hyatt Regency to hear some of the industry's most renowned players give their perspective for 2016. Two of the speakers included Matthew Gardner, Windermere's chief economist and Skylar Olson, senior economist from Zillow. Here are their highlights:
- In 2015 home prices in the Seattle Metro area (King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties) rose by 9.2%. Seattle itself saw double digit growth, and Bellevue/Renton 10% growth. If you're a homeowner you certainly got a good return on your investment – likely higher than anything else in your investment portfolio.
- In 2016 they both predict a 6% rise in home values.
- In Seattle, the rent/buy break even point is just 2 years. Rents are now becoming so expensive that in just 2 years, it would be just as cost effective to buy. With rents increasingly accounting for more and more of the monthly expenditure, it's proving impossible for many to get out of the rent trap and buy. As a result they are also putting off other big ticket items in life – marriage, babies etc.
- The current unemployment rate in Seattle is below 4%, effectively meaning that we're have full employment. Good news indeed!
- Expect to see a 2% job growth in 2016. More good news!
- Wage growth is predicted to rise by 4%. This compares to 3% nationally. Even better news! So, don't be too shy about asking for that pay rise come annual review!
- They predict that Mortgage rates will rise to between 4.4 and 4.9% by the end of the year. We finished 2015 at 3.9%. While breaking above 4% will be a huge mental barrier for some, the cost of borrowing remains at an all time low. Anyone remember when they were at a staggering 18%? If you don't chances are your parents do – and not too fondly at that.
The round off the morning, the key note speaker was Ron Culberson. I'd not heard of him before but it turns out that he's a very, very, very funny man. If anyone is lucky enough to be invited to any of his his 'Do It Well, Make It Fun' events throughout the year I strongly encourage you to attend.
In a nutshell, all signs are pointing North for a very strong 2016. Here's to success in whatever you do this year.
Smart Jewelry to Keep You Safe
As a woman in real estate safety is always my top priority. And with a passion for fashion, accessories are a big part of my wardrobe. Finally, I can combine the two with CUFF – a good looking line of smart jewelry that notifies your contacts when danger arises.
Here's how it works:
Set up a network of people who you'd like to be notified when you need help.
In an emergency, simply press and hold your piece of jewelry for 2-3 seconds. Your network will receive a text message indicating you need help. All they need to do is access the Cuff app to see your location on a map, and, if needed, they can simply tap to call 911. Finally, if the piece of jewelry is open at the time the alert is triggered, your emergency contacts will be able to hear live audio streaming from your phone. The Cuff will work as long as the Cuff and your phone are within 20-30 ft of each other – all through the magic of Bluetooth.
I think my favorite is the Lucky Bracelet.
To see the full collection visit https://cuff.io.
Cuff is currently compatible with iOS and Android phones only.
Refinance today. 10 minutes on the phone just saved me $766 per month.
Every once in a while I'm reminded that Corporate America rocks! And what I've written below is 100% truthful. No exaggerations.
In recent months we've received endless letters from our mortgage lender about refinancing and promising a better mortgage rate. Yeah, right – what corporate bank (and I am talking one of the big 5) actively encourages you to pay them less money every month?
Because of this skepticism I've been putting off calling them for weeks, months if I'm honest, because I thought it would be too painful and probably too good to be true.
I've finally made the call this afternoon because finally the knowledgeable realtor in me finally beat down the skeptical consumer. Just 10 minutes on the phone (with a most charming lady called Kellie I might add) saved us $766 per month without changing the type of loan, or any pre-payment penalties.
Admittedly there's an upfront fee but with the savings we're making, we've covered that in just a few payments – and even then all but $500 is rolled into the cost of the loan so the out of pocket expenses is minimal.
So the lesson here folks is don't be as lazy and skeptical as I was. Mortgage rates really are at an all time low. If you haven't refinanced in the last few years now really is the time to do it.
I don't have a crystal ball but I'm fairly certain that interest rates will go up early next year, the cost of borrowing will increase, even if only marginally. Now is the time to save some big $$$$$$. Had I made this call just 8 weeks ago when the letters started arriving we'd have already saved over $1000.
Now, where did I see that pair of must-have shoes…
FALL HOME MAINTENANCE GUIDE
I love Fall. Particularly in this part of the world. It's the contrast of the bright blue skies with the vibrant oranges that just make me smile. Also, knowing that in just a few short weeks the grey skies will come and the rain will fall makes me love it even more.
While enjoying these few and increasingly few sunny days homeowners should also be prepping their house for winter. Here's the a list of the most critical to-do's – both inside and outside the home.
1. Clear the gutters. I get it, this is about the most unexciting thing to do yourself or spend money on. But clogged gutters can lead to serious problems. If you don't fancy climbing a ladder yourself, bring in a professional
2. Change the batteries in your smoke and carbon monoxide alarms. Again, very unsexy but it could save your life, or if nothing else it will prevent a 'middle-of-the-night, whole-house-awakening' when just one little battery goes flat and sets off the entire system. Surely, I'm not the only one that's experienced that!
3. Get all gas appliances serviced. Another critical safety tip! And isn't it best to find out now that your furnace has a minor issue, before it turns into a major and expensive issue? Murphy's Law also dictates that if you don't get it serviced now it will fail during the one week of winter that we have subzero temperatures and six inches of snow on ground. Don't say I didn't tell you!
4. If you have a wood burning fireplace get the chimney cleaned out – or swept as we romantically refer to it in England. Doesn't that sound better?
5. Clean and cover, or store inside all the outdoor furniture and BBQ. Even the most weather resistant furniture benefits from a high quality furniture cover. Buy the best you can afford. A few additional dollars spent now will ensure your outdoor furniture last years, not just a few seasons.
6. Aerate your lawn and remove leaves. Admittedly, keeping on top of the leaves is a bit of a losing battle at this time of year, but wet rotting leaves don't do your grass any favors.
7. Replace outdoor light bulbs. Trick or treating is so much more fun when everyone can see where they are going!
8. Plant Spring bulbs. My favorite Fall task. Ok, planting is a little tedious but come Spring that hour or so spent on your hands and knees this month will repay you in spades with an abundance of colorful spring bulbs.
Happy Fall!
Good news for buyers and sellers should make for a strong, balanced housing market
The housing market continues to be buoyant, and it remains a seller's market with record low inventory on the Eastside. But there's good news for buyers too – which hopefully will encourage on-the-fence sellers to go live with listing.
Last week's news from the Fed that they wouldn't raise interest rates immediately led to a drop in mortgate rates. For a few days it was a little volatile, with rates bouncing around a little. Those making a loan application, were faced with the tough decision of when, or indeed if they should lock in a rate.
Following a few days of volatility, mortage rates seem to have got back on track with most lenders offering rates between 3.875%-4.0%. This is great news for buyers,and encouraging for sellers too.
Read more from the experts at Mortgage News Daily at http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/consumer_rates/513918.aspx
More good news for buyers: economists are predicting that the current 10-15% increase in property values will level out to a more sustainable 7- 8%.
In a perfect world, these two factors combined will continue to give us a strong housing market, but one that is a little more balanced. Sellers will continue to see their property values rise, buyers continue to get a great deal on mortgages and, all being well, inventory will rise, taking the pressure of both buyers and would-be sellers. I'm excited to see how the next 3-6 months play out.
Shut the Front Door
There was a post earlier this week on the Windermere blog about refreshing your front door. As I am preparing (mentally at least) to repaint our front door, it resonated strongly with me. And was the inspiration of this post.
I've said it before, and I know I shall say it again, but when it comes to buying, or selling a home appearances matter. While we all like to think beauty is only skin deep the reality is that most buyers will make a 'like' or 'don't like' decision about a house before they've even walked in the door. If the curb appeal, or in this case porch appeal is not up to par, they will struggle to fall in love with the rest of the house regardless of what's inside. The good news is that it works in reverse. If they love what they see on the outside, they will be less concerned that the bedrooms are a touch smaller than they ideally wanted. Why? Because mentally they are already visualizing themselves in the house – possibly even sitting outside on a summer's evening with a cold refreshing drink in their hand. You are not just selling your house, you are selling the lifestyle that comes with it.
Here are my top tips for adding some porch appeal.
- Repaint both the doors and the frames. Opt for a color that is traditional yet welcoming. Deep reds, dark blues, even green or black. While bright colors such as yellow or paler blues can look great they are very polarizing. Here you want to appeal to the masses, not make a bold design statement. Whatever color you chose, make sure it complements the hero color of the house.
- Update the hardware. The current trend is for brushed nickel or black. Brass is so 1990.
- Don't forget the kick plate. It should match the hardware.
- Declutter. An extensive outdoor shoe collection does not impress a buyer. If you must keep shoes outside consider creating some storage cubbies and adding a padded cushion to make a bench. Hide the hose pipe and the dog lead. Get rid of the Amazon Fresh home delivery boxes and last year's Halloween decorations. You laugh at this but I saw it yesterday while walking round my neighborhood.
- Wipe down the milk box. There's no need to hide this as many buyers would be happy to see that milk can be delivered to their door. Just make sure it's clean and presentable. If necessary put in a call to the milk company and have them replace it.
- Consider some seasonal staging. In the summer, some potted flowers look lovely. But be sure to water them daily. Nothing looks sadder than a thirsty and wilting hydrangea. Instead of flowers consider some contemporary statues and outside ornaments, or even a table and chair. A contemporary rug also goes a long way. www.jossandmain.com is my current go to for inexpensive home decor items.
- Remove any political signs that may be visible from the outside your home. Now is not to time to be publicly declaring your political allegiances.
- Make sure all light bulbs are working. It's unlikely you'll get any viewings in the dark, but buyers do switch on lights to check they work.
If for whatever reason you can't do any of the above, at the very least sweep and wash down the entire area, including walls and ceilings if you have an enclosed porch. No-one likes to walk through cobwebs or see five year's of dead spiders above their heads. If you cannot do this yourself, ask your agent to do it. It's something I will do for all my clients. If your agent is unwilling, then I would seriously question his commitment to your listing.
As I said at the outset, the inspiration for this post came from the Windermere blog. Check out the original post at http://www.windermere.com/blogs/windermere/posts/front-door-refresh